Adam Henrique vs Michael McCarron
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 55.1% vs McCarron 54.0% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 63.7%
Defensive zone
McCarron 74.5%
Neutral zone
McCarron 51.4%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 59.1%
40.9%
59.1%
Henrique
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Henrique
McCarron
Last 6: Henrique 3-3 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
2
Henrique
McCarron
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
3
1
Henrique
McCarron
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (723)
54.2% (756)
+3.3%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
55.6% (9)
+17.6%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (231)
55.1% (158)
-9.6%
On power play, Henrique has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Henrique is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (285).
Henrique shoots left. McCarron is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (674).
Home / Away
Henrique
McCarron
Home
56.4% (518)
54.6% (445)
Away
54.9% (492)
54.2% (478)
By Period
Henrique
McCarron
P1
56.0%
53.6%
P2
55.2%
55.6%
P3
56.2%
53.7%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.6%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2024 | 2 | 01:02 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 15:47 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 10:09 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 03:04 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 1 | 00:37 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 13:55 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |