Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Henrique wins 57.8% vs right-shot opponents — McLeod shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 54.6% vs McLeod 56.6% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 81.1%
Defensive zone
McLeod 81.2%
Neutral zone
McLeod 57.3%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 61.2%
61.2%
38.8%
Henrique
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Henrique
McLeod
Last 7: Henrique 4-3 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
4
0
Henrique
McLeod
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Henrique
McLeod
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Henrique
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (349)
58.3% (859)
-3.9%
Power Play
59.3% (135)
50.0% (28)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (13)
53.0% (168)
-6.8%
On power play, Henrique has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Henrique is 57.8% vs right-shot opponents (199).
Henrique shoots left. McLeod is 59.8% vs left-shot opponents (778).
Home / Away
Henrique
McLeod
Home
55.3% (237)
55.3% (526)
Away
55.8% (260)
59.2% (529)
By Period
Henrique
McLeod
P1
53.5%
60.7%
P2
64.8%
55.9%
P3
47.3%
55.2%
OT
58.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.7%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.5%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2022 | 3 | 11:19 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 3 | 05:38 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 3 | 02:16 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 2 | 19:42 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 2 | 18:55 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 2 | 03:48 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 2 | 02:03 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |