Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 51.0% vs McLeod 59.6% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 88.4%
Defensive zone
Henrique 59.9%
Neutral zone
Henrique 77.0%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 68.1%
68.1%
31.9%
Henrique
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Henrique
McLeod
Last 7: Henrique 2-5 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
McLeod
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
5
Henrique
McLeod
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (270)
61.5% (792)
-9.6%
Power Play
58.5% (200)
65.2% (23)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (199)
55.6% (153)
-12.9%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Henrique is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Henrique shoots left. McLeod is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (720).
Home / Away
Henrique
McLeod
Home
53.1% (339)
62.0% (460)
Away
49.1% (330)
59.4% (508)
By Period
Henrique
McLeod
P1
48.5%
61.5%
P2
48.6%
63.6%
P3
54.2%
56.2%
OT
70.6%
73.3%
Final 5 min
51.9%
60.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
51.1%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2023 | 3 | 13:27 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 2 | 09:12 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 1 | 11:33 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 3 | 12:07 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 3 | 09:48 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 3 | 08:01 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 2 | 01:12 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |