Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Henrique wins 56.4% vs right-shot opponents — McLeod shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.0% vs McLeod 63.0% (-11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 83.4%
Defensive zone
Henrique 84.8%
Neutral zone
Henrique 78.3%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 82.8%
82.8%
17.2%
Henrique
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
7
(7 meetings)
0
7
Henrique
McLeod
Last 7: Henrique 0-7 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Henrique
McLeod
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
4
Henrique
McLeod
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Henrique
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (725)
64.8% (509)
-9.4%
Power Play
50.6% (156)
68.4% (19)
-17.8%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (202)
65.3% (124)
-17.8%
On power play, McLeod has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Henrique is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Henrique shoots left. McLeod is 66.7% vs left-shot opponents (496).
Home / Away
Henrique
McLeod
Home
56.4% (553)
64.3% (308)
Away
50.0% (530)
65.7% (344)
By Period
Henrique
McLeod
P1
51.7%
62.9%
P2
55.5%
64.8%
P3
52.5%
67.9%
OT
66.7%
37.5%
Final 5 min
55.1%
66.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.3%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
65.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2023 | 3 | 13:58 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 17, 2023 | 3 | 03:21 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 17, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 17, 2023 | 2 | 06:39 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 17, 2023 | 2 | 01:20 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 17, 2023 | 1 | 05:58 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 17, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |