Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Henrique wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.8% vs Suzuki 50.3% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 69.5%
Defensive zone
Henrique 85.9%
Neutral zone
Henrique 57.8%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Henrique
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Henrique
Suzuki
Last 7: Henrique 5-2 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
3
2
Henrique
Suzuki
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Suzuki
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (376)
51.3% (904)
+4.8%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
49.8% (265)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (124)
36.8% (57)
+14.0%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Henrique is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (170).
Henrique shoots left. Suzuki is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (921).
Home / Away
Henrique
Suzuki
Home
53.5% (215)
50.6% (603)
Away
55.2% (306)
50.1% (623)
By Period
Henrique
Suzuki
P1
57.7%
52.3%
P2
53.8%
47.5%
P3
51.6%
51.1%
OT
100.0%
48.6%
Final 5 min
48.1%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.5%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 13:22 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 13:16 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 02:47 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 02:17 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 10:19 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 07:02 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 03:35 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |