Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.3% vs 52.6%). Look for Henrique on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Henrique wins 56.4% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.0% vs Suzuki 52.4% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Henrique leads 13-5 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 73.4%
Defensive zone
Henrique 63.4%
Neutral zone
Henrique 51.4%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Henrique
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
5
(18 meetings)
13
5
Henrique
Suzuki
Last 10: Henrique 7-3 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
2
Henrique
Suzuki
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
8
1
Henrique
Suzuki
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
5
2
Henrique
Suzuki
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (725)
51.3% (1,096)
+4.1%
Power Play
50.6% (156)
59.9% (157)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (202)
56.9% (58)
-9.4%
On penalty kill, Suzuki has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Henrique is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Henrique shoots left. Suzuki is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (961).
Home / Away
Henrique
Suzuki
Home
56.4% (553)
54.2% (638)
Away
50.0% (530)
51.0% (673)
By Period
Henrique
Suzuki
P1
51.7%
51.5%
P2
55.5%
53.3%
P3
52.5%
52.4%
OT
66.7%
58.3%
Final 5 min
55.1%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.3%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 16:08 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 10:49 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 02:17 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 11:57 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 3 | 10:19 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 16:22 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 11:45 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 08:48 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 06:46 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 06:35 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 00:18 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 08:57 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 15:57 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 12:30 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |