Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 51.0% vs Suzuki 47.5% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 50.9%
Defensive zone
Henrique 50.9%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 52.8%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Henrique
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Henrique
Suzuki
Last 10: Henrique 5-5 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
2
3
Henrique
Suzuki
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
1
Henrique
Suzuki
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
2
Henrique
Suzuki
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (270)
47.0% (1,066)
+4.9%
Power Play
58.5% (200)
49.5% (204)
+9.0%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (199)
46.6% (131)
-3.9%
On power play, Henrique has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Henrique is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Henrique shoots left. Suzuki is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,005).
Home / Away
Henrique
Suzuki
Home
53.1% (339)
49.4% (686)
Away
49.1% (330)
45.3% (715)
By Period
Henrique
Suzuki
P1
48.5%
45.6%
P2
48.6%
46.9%
P3
54.2%
49.8%
OT
70.6%
38.1%
Final 5 min
51.9%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
51.1%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 18:32 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 13:03 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 10:23 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 02:24 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 18:26 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 11:05 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 10:57 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 07:38 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 18:45 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 14:21 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |