Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Henrique wins 57.8% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 54.6% vs Suzuki 49.6% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 76.4%
Defensive zone
Henrique 60.4%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 51.7%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 63.7%
63.7%
36.3%
Henrique
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Henrique
Suzuki
Last 6: Henrique 4-2 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Suzuki
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
1
Henrique
Suzuki
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Suzuki
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (349)
50.3% (1,075)
+4.1%
Power Play
59.3% (135)
49.3% (219)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (13)
43.1% (116)
+3.1%
On power play, Henrique has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Henrique is 57.8% vs right-shot opponents (199).
Henrique shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,008).
Home / Away
Henrique
Suzuki
Home
55.3% (237)
53.6% (711)
Away
55.8% (260)
45.5% (699)
By Period
Henrique
Suzuki
P1
53.5%
48.5%
P2
64.8%
51.7%
P3
47.3%
49.0%
OT
58.3%
43.5%
Final 5 min
54.7%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.5%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 19:29 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 19:03 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 03:14 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 31, 2021 | 3 | 10:53 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 31, 2021 | 1 | 13:45 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 31, 2021 | 1 | 06:29 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |