Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Henrique wins 56.4% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.0% vs Roy 47.2% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 54.1%
Defensive zone
Roy 59.2%
Neutral zone
Henrique 53.6%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Henrique
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Henrique
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Roy
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
2
Henrique
Roy
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (725)
47.5% (617)
+7.9%
Power Play
50.6% (156)
39.6% (53)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (202)
46.4% (97)
+1.1%
On power play, Henrique has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Henrique is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Henrique shoots left. Roy is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Home / Away
Henrique
Roy
Home
56.4% (553)
47.2% (398)
Away
50.0% (530)
46.3% (369)
By Period
Henrique
Roy
P1
51.7%
48.6%
P2
55.5%
48.8%
P3
52.5%
43.9%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.1%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.3%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 18:01 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 1 | 10:26 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 17:23 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 10:36 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |