Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 20 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 50.6% vs Roy 48.4% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Henrique leads 31-15 in 46 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 87.8%
Defensive zone
Henrique 70.7%
Neutral zone
Henrique 76.6%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 79.8%
79.8%
20.2%
Henrique
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
31
-
15
(46 meetings)
31
15
Henrique
Roy
Last 10: Henrique 6-4 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
17
3
Henrique
Roy
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
6
7
Henrique
Roy
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
8
5
Henrique
Roy
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (9,527)
48.7% (3,719)
+2.1%
Power Play
54.5% (1,762)
49.5% (283)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,822)
45.5% (477)
+0.7%
On power play, Henrique has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Henrique is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (4,629).
Henrique shoots left. Roy is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,288).
Home / Away
Henrique
Roy
Home
52.5% (6,418)
49.5% (2,221)
Away
48.8% (6,716)
47.3% (2,258)
By Period
Henrique
Roy
P1
50.6%
50.8%
P2
51.4%
46.3%
P3
50.2%
48.1%
OT
40.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
50.6%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 11:09 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 04:59 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 08:14 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 01:29 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 16:47 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 16:40 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 13:41 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 01:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 13:47 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 17:36 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 08:24 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 09:21 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 08:19 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 3 | 19:55 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 2 | 15:56 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 18:01 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 1 | 10:26 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 17:23 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |