Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.8% vs Roy 51.9% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 53.8%
Defensive zone
Henrique 51.1%
Neutral zone
Henrique 57.3%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Henrique
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Henrique
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Roy
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Henrique
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (376)
51.9% (547)
+4.2%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
54.1% (37)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (124)
53.3% (92)
-2.5%
On power play, Roy has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Henrique is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (170).
Henrique shoots left. Roy is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Home / Away
Henrique
Roy
Home
53.5% (215)
54.0% (328)
Away
55.2% (306)
50.6% (348)
By Period
Henrique
Roy
P1
57.7%
53.5%
P2
53.8%
51.6%
P3
51.6%
51.6%
Final 5 min
48.1%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.5%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 11:09 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 04:59 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 08:14 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |