Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Henrique wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 54.6% vs Carpenter 44.1% (+12.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 96.6%
Defensive zone
Henrique 67.5%
Neutral zone
Henrique 89.6%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 95.2%
95.2%
4.8%
Henrique
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Henrique
Carpenter
Last 5: Henrique 5-0 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
4
0
Henrique
Carpenter
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Carpenter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (740)
46.2% (474)
+7.3%
Power Play
65.9% (132)
28.6% (7)
+37.3%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (57)
32.6% (129)
+18.3%
On power play, Henrique has a +37.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Henrique is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Henrique shoots left. Carpenter is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Home / Away
Henrique
Carpenter
Home
57.4% (467)
46.5% (303)
Away
52.7% (463)
39.7% (307)
By Period
Henrique
Carpenter
P1
55.4%
44.2%
P2
56.7%
40.4%
P3
54.0%
44.2%
OT
22.2%
57.1%
Final 5 min
51.2%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.1%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2019 | 3 | 17:06 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 3, 2019 | 3 | 04:26 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 3, 2019 | 3 | 02:34 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 3, 2019 | 1 | 05:31 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 3, 2019 | 1 | 05:16 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |