Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Henrique wins 57.8% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 54.6% vs Carpenter 51.2% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 83.8%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 70.1%
Neutral zone
Henrique 50.4%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 63.6%
63.6%
36.4%
Henrique
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Henrique
Carpenter
Last 7: Henrique 4-3 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
3
1
Henrique
Carpenter
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Carpenter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
1
Henrique
Carpenter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (349)
53.2% (299)
+1.2%
Power Play
59.3% (135)
33.3% (3)
+26.0%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (13)
46.5% (86)
-0.3%
On power play, Henrique has a +26.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Henrique is 57.8% vs right-shot opponents (199).
Henrique shoots left. Carpenter is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Henrique
Carpenter
Home
55.3% (237)
54.6% (207)
Away
55.8% (260)
48.1% (181)
By Period
Henrique
Carpenter
P1
53.5%
52.3%
P2
64.8%
51.5%
P3
47.3%
50.8%
Final 5 min
54.7%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.5%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2022 | 3 | 08:10 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 2 | 18:37 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 2 | 05:03 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 2 | 04:59 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 2 | 04:55 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 1 | 17:49 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 1 | 08:49 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |