Scouting Report
Ryan Carpenter holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 51.0% vs Carpenter 52.2% (-2.9%)
Offensive zone
Henrique 55.7%
Defensive zone
Henrique 51.3%
Neutral zone
Henrique 53.8%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Henrique
Carpenter
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (270)
53.1% (113)
-1.2%
Power Play
58.5% (200)
100.0% (1)
-41.5%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (199)
60.0% (10)
-17.3%
On power play, Carpenter has a +41.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Henrique is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Henrique shoots left. Carpenter is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Henrique
Carpenter
Home
53.1% (339)
58.5% (65)
Away
49.1% (330)
49.2% (59)
By Period
Henrique
Carpenter
P1
48.5%
65.8%
P2
48.6%
50.0%
P3
54.2%
47.9%
Final 5 min
51.9%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
51.1%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
54.0%