Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.7% vs 53.5%). Look for Henrique on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Henrique wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 52.5% vs Johansen 53.3% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Henrique leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 67.6%
Defensive zone
Henrique 57.6%
Neutral zone
Henrique 55.4%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Henrique
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Henrique
Johansen
Last 10: Henrique 7-3 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
Henrique
Johansen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
6
0
Henrique
Johansen
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Johansen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (818)
54.7% (1,149)
-1.8%
Power Play
49.7% (163)
49.7% (191)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (101)
47.9% (121)
+7.5%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Henrique is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Henrique shoots left. Johansen is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Home / Away
Henrique
Johansen
Home
55.3% (571)
52.5% (739)
Away
49.8% (512)
54.6% (722)
By Period
Henrique
Johansen
P1
53.3%
53.8%
P2
52.4%
55.8%
P3
52.4%
51.2%
OT
53.3%
52.4%
Final 5 min
52.8%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
52.7%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2019 | 2 | 17:49 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 12, 2019 | 2 | 10:11 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 3 | 02:47 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 2 | 11:16 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 1 | 11:04 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 12, 2018 | 3 | 12:48 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 12, 2018 | 1 | 14:41 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 12, 2018 | 1 | 09:12 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 12, 2018 | 1 | 07:45 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 12, 2018 | 1 | 01:40 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |