Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on defensive-zone draws (55% H2H, 44 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 50.6% vs Johansen 53.3% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 50-42 in 92 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 60.2%
Defensive zone
Henrique 56.5%
Neutral zone
Henrique 50.7%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Henrique
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
42
-
50
(92 meetings)
42
50
Henrique
Johansen
Last 10: Henrique 1-9 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
12
13
Henrique
Johansen
25 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
20
24
Henrique
Johansen
44 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
10
13
Henrique
Johansen
23 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (9,527)
53.1% (11,017)
-2.3%
Power Play
54.5% (1,762)
56.2% (2,163)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,822)
50.5% (978)
-4.3%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Henrique is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (4,629).
Henrique shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Home / Away
Henrique
Johansen
Home
52.5% (6,418)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
48.8% (6,716)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Henrique
Johansen
P1
50.6%
53.2%
P2
51.4%
53.9%
P3
50.2%
52.8%
OT
40.6%
58.2%
Final 5 min
50.4%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
50.6%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2023 | 3 | 06:21 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 3 | 02:08 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 2 | 02:32 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 2, 2023 | OT | 01:29 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 08:29 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 03:31 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 08:26 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 12:57 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 3 | 14:14 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 2 | 10:01 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 2 | 01:57 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 1 | 16:38 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 1 | 08:16 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 1 | 01:30 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 2 | 19:48 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 2 | 08:25 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 2 | 01:15 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 1 | 01:31 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 29, 2022 | OT | 02:45 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 3 | 10:02 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |