Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 51.0% vs Johansen 58.2% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 81.6%
Defensive zone
Johansen 58.3%
Neutral zone
Johansen 71.4%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 64.1%
35.9%
64.1%
Henrique
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Henrique
Johansen
Last 8: Henrique 5-3 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Johansen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
4
2
Henrique
Johansen
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (270)
59.8% (625)
-7.9%
Power Play
58.5% (200)
58.2% (196)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (199)
51.9% (27)
-9.2%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Henrique is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Henrique shoots left. Johansen is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Home / Away
Henrique
Johansen
Home
53.1% (339)
60.3% (436)
Away
49.1% (330)
58.0% (412)
By Period
Henrique
Johansen
P1
48.5%
61.3%
P2
48.6%
60.4%
P3
54.2%
56.0%
OT
70.6%
56.3%
Final 5 min
51.9%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
51.1%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2022 | 2 | 19:48 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 2 | 08:25 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 2 | 01:15 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 1 | 01:31 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 29, 2022 | OT | 02:45 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 3 | 10:02 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 3 | 04:35 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 2 | 17:21 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |