Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.3% vs 53.1%). Look for Johansen on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Henrique wins 56.4% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.0% vs Johansen 52.8% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 12-2 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 57.8%
Defensive zone
Johansen 56.4%
Neutral zone
Henrique 50.8%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Henrique
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
12
(14 meetings)
2
12
Henrique
Johansen
Last 10: Henrique 1-9 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
4
Henrique
Johansen
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
6
Henrique
Johansen
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
2
Henrique
Johansen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (725)
51.9% (597)
+3.5%
Power Play
50.6% (156)
57.9% (133)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (202)
54.3% (81)
-6.8%
On power play, Johansen has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Henrique is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Henrique shoots left. Johansen is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (584).
Home / Away
Henrique
Johansen
Home
56.4% (553)
55.8% (387)
Away
50.0% (530)
50.7% (424)
By Period
Henrique
Johansen
P1
51.7%
50.0%
P2
55.5%
56.2%
P3
52.5%
52.6%
OT
66.7%
75.0%
Final 5 min
55.1%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.3%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2023 | 3 | 06:21 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 3 | 02:08 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 2 | 02:32 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 2, 2023 | OT | 01:29 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 08:29 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 03:31 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 08:26 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 12:57 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 3 | 14:14 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 2 | 10:01 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 2 | 01:57 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 1 | 16:38 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 1 | 08:16 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 1 | 01:30 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |