Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Henrique wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 54.6% vs Johansen 52.9% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Henrique leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 62.9%
Defensive zone
Henrique 50.1%
Neutral zone
Henrique 62.8%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Henrique
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Henrique
Johansen
Last 10: Henrique 7-3 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
4
0
Henrique
Johansen
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
4
3
Henrique
Johansen
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (740)
53.4% (845)
+0.1%
Power Play
65.9% (132)
58.8% (102)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (57)
44.7% (85)
+6.2%
On power play, Henrique has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Henrique is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Henrique shoots left. Johansen is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (696).
Home / Away
Henrique
Johansen
Home
57.4% (467)
53.2% (479)
Away
52.7% (463)
53.2% (553)
By Period
Henrique
Johansen
P1
55.4%
53.8%
P2
56.7%
53.9%
P3
54.0%
52.0%
OT
22.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.1%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2020 | 3 | 18:33 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 3 | 10:34 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 2 | 12:24 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 1 | 11:45 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 5, 2020 | 3 | 17:30 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 5, 2020 | 3 | 00:58 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 5, 2020 | 2 | 16:06 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 5, 2020 | 1 | 11:31 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 5, 2020 | 1 | 05:08 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 3 | 04:16 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 2 | 01:02 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |