Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Henrique wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 55.1% vs Poehling 50.8% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 79.2%
Defensive zone
Henrique 59.2%
Neutral zone
Henrique 75.2%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 78.4%
78.4%
21.6%
Henrique
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Henrique
Poehling
Last 5: Henrique 5-0 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
4
0
Henrique
Poehling
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (723)
52.6% (622)
+4.9%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
58.3% (12)
+14.9%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (231)
39.8% (103)
+5.7%
On power play, Henrique has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Henrique is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (725).
Henrique shoots left. Poehling is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (505).
Home / Away
Henrique
Poehling
Home
56.4% (518)
53.2% (393)
Away
54.9% (492)
48.3% (344)
By Period
Henrique
Poehling
P1
56.0%
50.9%
P2
55.2%
56.2%
P3
56.2%
46.1%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.8%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.6%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 3 | 03:11 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 3 | 03:08 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 3 | 02:55 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 13:41 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |