Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.8% vs Poehling 47.4% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 65.2%
Defensive zone
Henrique 56.5%
Neutral zone
Henrique 54.4%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
Henrique
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Henrique
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Poehling
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Poehling
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (376)
49.8% (626)
+6.3%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
58.3% (12)
-10.7%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (124)
38.2% (207)
+12.6%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Henrique is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (351).
Henrique shoots left. Poehling is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Home / Away
Henrique
Poehling
Home
53.5% (215)
47.3% (404)
Away
55.2% (306)
46.9% (441)
By Period
Henrique
Poehling
P1
57.7%
53.5%
P2
53.8%
39.4%
P3
51.6%
49.1%
OT
100.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
48.1%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.5%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 01:39 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 01:30 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 01:17 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |