Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 50.6% vs Poehling 48.1% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Henrique leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 82.0%
Defensive zone
Poehling 50.2%
Neutral zone
Henrique 60.4%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 72.2%
72.2%
27.8%
Henrique
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Henrique
Poehling
Last 10: Henrique 7-3 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
5
1
Henrique
Poehling
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
2
3
Henrique
Poehling
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (9,527)
49.4% (2,726)
+1.4%
Power Play
54.5% (1,762)
51.6% (93)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,822)
41.6% (623)
+4.6%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Henrique is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,505).
Henrique shoots left. Poehling is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,301).
Home / Away
Henrique
Poehling
Home
52.5% (6,418)
49.3% (1,688)
Away
48.8% (6,716)
46.9% (1,754)
By Period
Henrique
Poehling
P1
50.6%
50.9%
P2
51.4%
47.0%
P3
50.2%
46.9%
OT
40.6%
37.9%
Final 5 min
50.4%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
50.6%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 01:39 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 01:30 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 01:17 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 3 | 03:11 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 3 | 03:08 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 3 | 02:55 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 13:41 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 18:29 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 18:23 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 2 | 16:09 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |