Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Henrique wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.5% vs Monahan 52.1% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 62.8%
Defensive zone
Henrique 81.6%
Neutral zone
Henrique 62.9%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 77.9%
77.9%
22.1%
Henrique
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Henrique
Monahan
Last 5: Henrique 4-1 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
3
1
Henrique
Monahan
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (433)
52.3% (939)
+3.6%
Power Play
45.8% (24)
54.6% (174)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (148)
48.6% (107)
+1.4%
On power play, Monahan has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Henrique is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (403).
Henrique shoots left. Monahan is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (762).
Home / Away
Henrique
Monahan
Home
52.7% (256)
53.0% (593)
Away
55.0% (349)
51.7% (627)
By Period
Henrique
Monahan
P1
55.9%
50.3%
P2
53.0%
54.4%
P3
53.0%
51.8%
OT
100.0%
52.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
51.5%
54.0%
Monahan
46.0%▼
48.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 11:49 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 12:42 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 3 | 17:42 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 3 | 16:04 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 1 | 09:39 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |