Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Henrique wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 55.1% vs Monahan 52.4% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 63.2%
Defensive zone
Henrique 79.2%
Neutral zone
Henrique 53.7%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 64.4%
64.4%
35.6%
Henrique
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Henrique
Monahan
Last 8: Henrique 5-3 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Henrique
Monahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
3
1
Henrique
Monahan
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
1
Henrique
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (723)
52.4% (853)
+5.1%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
58.6% (174)
+14.6%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (231)
46.5% (144)
-1.0%
On power play, Henrique has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Henrique is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (725).
Henrique shoots left. Monahan is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (782).
Home / Away
Henrique
Monahan
Home
56.4% (518)
53.4% (624)
Away
54.9% (492)
51.7% (547)
By Period
Henrique
Monahan
P1
56.0%
53.7%
P2
55.2%
52.4%
P3
56.2%
51.6%
OT
0.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
51.8%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.6%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 02:19 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 03:32 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 1 | 19:20 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 04:51 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 02:16 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 00:08 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |