Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.6% vs 51.3%). Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 30 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 50.6% vs Monahan 51.3% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Henrique leads 48-46 in 94 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 66.3%
Defensive zone
Henrique 61.5%
Neutral zone
Monahan 51.3%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Henrique
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
48
-
46
(94 meetings)
48
46
Henrique
Monahan
Last 10: Henrique 6-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
11
19
Henrique
Monahan
30 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
20
14
Henrique
Monahan
34 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
17
13
Henrique
Monahan
30 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (9,527)
51.1% (11,356)
-0.3%
Power Play
54.5% (1,762)
53.7% (2,580)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,822)
46.0% (766)
+0.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Henrique is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,505).
Henrique shoots left. Monahan is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (9,301).
Home / Away
Henrique
Monahan
Home
52.5% (6,418)
52.4% (7,358)
Away
48.8% (6,716)
50.2% (7,344)
By Period
Henrique
Monahan
P1
50.6%
50.9%
P2
51.4%
51.7%
P3
50.2%
51.0%
OT
40.6%
53.5%
Final 5 min
50.4%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
50.6%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 11:49 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 12:42 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 3 | 17:42 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 3 | 16:04 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 1 | 09:39 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 02:19 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 03:32 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 1 | 19:20 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 04:51 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 02:16 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 00:08 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 13:58 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 11:31 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 15:23 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 11:47 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 04:15 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 17, 2020 | 3 | 05:05 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |