Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.0% vs Monahan 54.5% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 53.0%
Defensive zone
Henrique 66.8%
Neutral zone
Henrique 60.2%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 63.5%
63.5%
36.5%
Henrique
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Henrique
Monahan
Last 6: Henrique 2-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
1
Henrique
Monahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
3
Henrique
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (725)
57.1% (871)
-1.7%
Power Play
50.6% (156)
53.1% (262)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (202)
44.6% (139)
+2.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Henrique is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (693).
Henrique shoots left. Monahan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Home / Away
Henrique
Monahan
Home
56.4% (553)
55.3% (644)
Away
50.0% (530)
54.5% (628)
By Period
Henrique
Monahan
P1
51.7%
53.9%
P2
55.5%
55.3%
P3
52.5%
54.4%
OT
66.7%
76.5%
Final 5 min
55.1%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.3%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 13:58 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 11:31 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 15:23 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 11:47 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 04:15 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |