Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.8% vs Stamkos 54.6% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 82.3%
Defensive zone
Henrique 80.0%
Neutral zone
Henrique 51.5%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 80.0%
80.0%
20.0%
Henrique
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Henrique
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (376)
56.1% (342)
+0.0%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
53.3% (92)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (124)
62.5% (8)
-11.7%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Henrique is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (170).
Henrique shoots left. Stamkos is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
Henrique
Stamkos
Home
53.5% (215)
53.4% (208)
Away
55.2% (306)
57.7% (234)
By Period
Henrique
Stamkos
P1
57.7%
55.6%
P2
53.8%
52.8%
P3
51.6%
59.1%
OT
100.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
48.1%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.5%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | 2 | 16:04 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |