Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 55.1% vs Stamkos 49.9% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 86.4%
Defensive zone
Henrique 73.9%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 59.4%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 58.1%
41.9%
58.1%
Henrique
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Henrique
Stamkos
Last 5: Henrique 2-3 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Henrique
Stamkos
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Stamkos
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
2
Henrique
Stamkos
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (723)
49.3% (670)
+8.2%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
53.7% (121)
+19.5%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (231)
33.3% (3)
+12.2%
On power play, Henrique has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Henrique is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (285).
Henrique shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (610).
Home / Away
Henrique
Stamkos
Home
56.4% (518)
54.0% (400)
Away
54.9% (492)
45.7% (394)
By Period
Henrique
Stamkos
P1
56.0%
48.6%
P2
55.2%
54.5%
P3
56.2%
45.4%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.6%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2024 | OT | 00:33 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 2 | 19:31 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 2 | 06:44 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 14:26 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 05:48 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |