Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 51.0% vs Stamkos 53.4% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 66.4%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 59.8%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 63.7%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 63.1%
36.9%
63.1%
Henrique
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Henrique
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Stamkos
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (270)
55.3% (628)
-3.4%
Power Play
58.5% (200)
55.1% (216)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (199)
40.2% (87)
+2.5%
On even strength, Stamkos has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Henrique is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Henrique shoots left. Stamkos is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (659).
Home / Away
Henrique
Stamkos
Home
53.1% (339)
55.5% (499)
Away
49.1% (330)
51.9% (432)
By Period
Henrique
Stamkos
P1
48.5%
50.7%
P2
48.6%
53.8%
P3
54.2%
55.9%
OT
70.6%
87.5%
Final 5 min
51.9%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
51.1%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2023 | 2 | 01:28 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 1 | 15:54 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 1 | 00:53 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 26, 2022 | 1 | 08:10 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |