Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Henrique wins 44.1% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 48.3% vs Stamkos 52.3% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 50.8%
Defensive zone
Henrique 54.3%
Neutral zone
Henrique 53.1%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Henrique
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Henrique
Stamkos
Last 10: Henrique 5-5 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
1
Henrique
Stamkos
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
3
Henrique
Stamkos
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
3
1
Henrique
Stamkos
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (917)
54.7% (179)
-7.0%
Power Play
54.4% (149)
50.0% (4)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (148)
40.0% (15)
+5.3%
On even strength, Stamkos has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Henrique is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (444).
Henrique shoots left. Stamkos is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (128).
Home / Away
Henrique
Stamkos
Home
49.9% (567)
57.4% (108)
Away
46.7% (647)
48.9% (90)
By Period
Henrique
Stamkos
P1
49.7%
53.4%
P2
45.3%
51.7%
P3
50.6%
55.6%
OT
31.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
41.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
48.2%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 14:14 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 05:12 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 05:01 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 2 | 13:22 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 1 | 14:02 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 1 | 00:54 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 3 | 19:41 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 3 | 19:25 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 3 | 16:08 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 1 | 08:22 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |