Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 50.6% vs Jost 40.5% (+10.5%)
H2H factor
Henrique leads 14-5 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 96.2%
Defensive zone
Henrique 93.0%
Neutral zone
Henrique 95.0%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 95.3%
95.3%
4.7%
Henrique
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
5
(19 meetings)
14
5
Henrique
Jost
Last 10: Henrique 6-4 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
6
3
Henrique
Jost
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
1
Henrique
Jost
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
6
1
Henrique
Jost
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (9,527)
41.0% (2,014)
+9.8%
Power Play
54.5% (1,762)
34.2% (73)
+20.3%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,822)
35.3% (255)
+10.9%
On power play, Henrique has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Henrique is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,505).
Henrique shoots left. Jost is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,466).
Home / Away
Henrique
Jost
Home
52.5% (6,418)
41.9% (1,238)
Away
48.8% (6,716)
38.1% (1,104)
By Period
Henrique
Jost
P1
50.6%
38.5%
P2
51.4%
41.2%
P3
50.2%
40.9%
OT
40.6%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
50.6%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
40.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 16:29 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 09:02 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 03:59 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 11:39 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 01:12 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 07:40 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 05:21 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 1 | 15:51 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 1 | 09:42 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 3 | 01:01 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 2 | 14:10 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 2 | 06:16 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 2 | 02:15 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 1 | 08:48 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 2 | 03:43 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 1 | 04:35 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 2 | 03:46 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 15, 2018 | 1 | 04:15 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 1 | 03:23 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |