Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 51.0% vs Jost 40.8% (+12.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 66.5%
Defensive zone
Jost 56.2%
Neutral zone
Jost 51.6%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Henrique
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Henrique
Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Jost
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jost
0
1
Henrique
Jost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (270)
41.8% (388)
+10.1%
Power Play
58.5% (200)
0.0% (3)
+58.5%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (199)
21.7% (60)
+21.0%
On power play, Henrique has a +58.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Henrique is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Henrique shoots left. Jost is 38.5% vs left-shot opponents (283).
Home / Away
Henrique
Jost
Home
53.1% (339)
42.6% (230)
Away
49.1% (330)
34.8% (221)
By Period
Henrique
Jost
P1
48.5%
43.2%
P2
48.6%
38.2%
P3
54.2%
34.6%
OT
70.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
51.1%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
38.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 07:40 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 05:21 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |