Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 55.1% vs Jost 47.3% (+10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 60.3%
Defensive zone
Henrique 92.8%
Neutral zone
Henrique 78.7%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 78.7%
78.7%
21.3%
Henrique
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Henrique
Jost
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Jost
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (723)
45.7% (116)
+11.8%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
37.5% (8)
+35.7%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (231)
50.0% (2)
-4.5%
On power play, Henrique has a +35.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Henrique is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (725).
Henrique shoots left. Jost is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (91).
Home / Away
Henrique
Jost
Home
56.4% (518)
39.7% (68)
Away
54.9% (492)
51.7% (58)
By Period
Henrique
Jost
P1
56.0%
40.5%
P2
55.2%
47.9%
P3
56.2%
47.2%
Final 5 min
51.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.6%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 16:29 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 09:02 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |