Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.0% vs Jost 45.0% (+10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jost 64.2%
Defensive zone
Jost 52.4%
Neutral zone
Jost 54.5%
Result
Tyson Jost favored at 61.0%
39.0%
61.0%
Henrique
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Henrique
Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jost
0
2
Henrique
Jost
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Jost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (725)
43.3% (194)
+12.1%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (202)
25.0% (8)
+22.5%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +22.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Henrique is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (693).
Henrique shoots left. Jost is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (129).
Home / Away
Henrique
Jost
Home
56.4% (553)
39.7% (78)
Away
50.0% (530)
44.4% (124)
By Period
Henrique
Jost
P1
51.7%
40.5%
P2
55.5%
43.2%
P3
52.5%
44.9%
Final 5 min
55.1%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
58.0%▲
52.5%
53.3%
Jost
40.0%▼
44.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 03:59 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 11:39 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 01:12 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |