Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Wennberg on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.4% vs Wennberg 46.3% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Wennberg leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Wennberg 75.4%
Defensive zone
Wennberg 57.2%
Neutral zone
Wennberg 65.2%
Result
Alexander Wennberg favored at 69.3%
30.7%
69.3%
Lowry
Wennberg
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Lowry
Wennberg
Last 10: Lowry 4-6 Wennberg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wennberg
2
4
Lowry
Wennberg
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Wennberg
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wennberg
1
2
Lowry
Wennberg
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Wennberg
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (675)
45.8% (778)
+9.6%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
52.7% (239)
+30.6%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (89)
37.3% (169)
+3.1%
On power play, Lowry has a +30.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wennberg shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Lowry shoots left. Wennberg is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (832).
Home / Away
Lowry
Wennberg
Home
54.5% (402)
47.3% (607)
Away
53.3% (368)
44.6% (579)
By Period
Lowry
Wennberg
P1
52.4%
44.5%
P2
56.0%
46.2%
P3
54.2%
47.4%
OT
40.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
58.1%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.9%
Wennberg
50.0%▼
51.5%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 14:25 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 14:19 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 12:26 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 12:19 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 1 | 10:03 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 3 | 15:39 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 3 | 11:19 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 2 | 01:06 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 1 | 06:15 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |