Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Wennberg on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Wennberg 45.9% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wennberg 73.6%
Defensive zone
Lowry 51.2%
Neutral zone
Wennberg 61.2%
Result
Alexander Wennberg favored at 67.4%
32.6%
67.4%
Lowry
Wennberg
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Lowry
Wennberg
Last 8: Lowry 3-5 Wennberg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wennberg
2
3
Lowry
Wennberg
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wennberg
0
1
Lowry
Wennberg
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Wennberg
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Wennberg
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
47.4% (974)
+5.3%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
40.3% (154)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
41.7% (247)
-1.7%
On power play, Lowry has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wennberg shoots left. Lowry is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Lowry shoots left. Wennberg is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (892).
Home / Away
Lowry
Wennberg
Home
52.4% (597)
46.1% (661)
Away
48.4% (583)
45.1% (714)
By Period
Lowry
Wennberg
P1
48.5%
48.5%
P2
52.2%
42.6%
P3
50.5%
46.3%
OT
50.0%
38.9%
Final 5 min
49.4%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Wennberg
50.0%▼
51.5%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 17:42 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 04:23 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 2 | 13:32 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 3 | 02:17 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 2 | 10:52 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 2 | 07:18 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 1 | 05:35 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 1 | 04:51 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |