Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Wennberg on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Wennberg 46.9% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wennberg 79.3%
Defensive zone
Wennberg 50.2%
Neutral zone
Wennberg 63.6%
Result
Alexander Wennberg favored at 74.1%
25.9%
74.1%
Lowry
Wennberg
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Lowry
Wennberg
Last 9: Lowry 3-6 Wennberg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wennberg
1
5
Lowry
Wennberg
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Wennberg
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Wennberg
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
45.6% (986)
+10.2%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
51.4% (144)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
51.7% (60)
-9.4%
On even strength, Lowry has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wennberg shoots left. Lowry is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Lowry shoots left. Wennberg is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (751).
Home / Away
Lowry
Wennberg
Home
53.4% (515)
46.4% (621)
Away
52.6% (549)
46.9% (569)
By Period
Lowry
Wennberg
P1
54.2%
42.9%
P2
54.4%
49.3%
P3
50.8%
47.6%
OT
37.5%
37.5%
Final 5 min
54.2%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
Wennberg
50.0%▼
51.5%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2022 | 3 | 18:25 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| May 1, 2022 | 2 | 05:40 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| May 1, 2022 | 2 | 05:33 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| May 1, 2022 | 1 | 19:06 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 19:59 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 19:22 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 09:34 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 1 | 19:25 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 08:11 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |