Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Wennberg on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Wennberg 47.7% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wennberg 73.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 73.2%
Neutral zone
Lowry 52.9%
Result
Alexander Wennberg favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Lowry
Wennberg
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Lowry
Wennberg
Last 6: Lowry 3-3 Wennberg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wennberg
1
2
Lowry
Wennberg
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Wennberg
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Wennberg
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Wennberg
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (933)
47.9% (777)
+5.8%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
51.0% (202)
+9.7%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (227)
36.7% (90)
+6.0%
On power play, Lowry has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wennberg shoots left. Lowry is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (840).
Lowry shoots left. Wennberg is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (786).
Home / Away
Lowry
Wennberg
Home
53.0% (583)
47.2% (489)
Away
50.6% (605)
47.8% (580)
By Period
Lowry
Wennberg
P1
52.1%
47.1%
P2
51.8%
48.1%
P3
52.3%
47.5%
OT
25.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
53.9%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.8%
Wennberg
50.0%▼
51.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2025 | 3 | 16:49 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 24, 2025 | 3 | 02:54 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 18:47 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 1 | 05:43 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 2 | 15:33 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 1 | 10:40 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |