Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Wennberg on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 47.5% vs Wennberg 43.7% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wennberg 60.8%
Defensive zone
Wennberg 61.9%
Neutral zone
Wennberg 57.5%
Result
Alexander Wennberg favored at 59.4%
40.6%
59.4%
Lowry
Wennberg
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Lowry
Wennberg
Last 8: Lowry 3-5 Wennberg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Wennberg
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Wennberg
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wennberg
1
3
Lowry
Wennberg
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Wennberg
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (783)
42.5% (569)
+4.5%
Power Play
57.1% (28)
48.8% (41)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (40)
40.6% (64)
+4.4%
On power play, Lowry has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wennberg shoots left. Lowry is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (575).
Lowry shoots left. Wennberg is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
Lowry
Wennberg
Home
49.2% (425)
46.8% (340)
Away
45.3% (426)
38.6% (334)
By Period
Lowry
Wennberg
P1
53.6%
38.2%
P2
39.8%
42.9%
P3
48.5%
47.7%
OT
0.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
52.0%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
47.2%
Wennberg
50.0%▼
51.5%
42.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2015 | 3 | 12:28 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 21, 2015 | 3 | 06:57 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Jan 21, 2015 | 2 | 06:12 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Jan 21, 2015 | 2 | 01:44 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Jan 21, 2015 | 1 | 15:08 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 21, 2015 | 1 | 01:08 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 3 | 19:42 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 2 | 16:56 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |