Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.4% vs 51.2%). Look for Lizotte on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Lizotte 51.0% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Lizotte leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Lizotte 62.6%
Defensive zone
Lowry 77.7%
Neutral zone
Lowry 54.7%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Lowry
Lizotte
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Lowry
Lizotte
Last 10: Lowry 3-7 Lizotte
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
0
2
Lowry
Lizotte
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Lizotte
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
5
Lowry
Lizotte
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Lizotte
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
52.5% (707)
+0.2%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
46.2% (13)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
41.4% (87)
-1.4%
On power play, Lowry has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lizotte shoots left. Lowry is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Lowry shoots left. Lizotte is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (554).
Home / Away
Lowry
Lizotte
Home
52.4% (597)
51.4% (383)
Away
48.4% (583)
50.9% (424)
By Period
Lowry
Lizotte
P1
48.5%
48.8%
P2
52.2%
51.0%
P3
50.5%
53.5%
Final 5 min
49.4%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 07:07 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 02:49 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 03:22 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 15:52 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 04:51 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 04:37 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 3 | 08:27 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 3 | 05:44 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 2 | 18:22 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |