Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Lizotte 50.4% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 14-10 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Lizotte 51.9%
Defensive zone
Lowry 70.8%
Neutral zone
Lowry 61.5%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
Lowry
Lizotte
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
10
(24 meetings)
14
10
Lowry
Lizotte
Last 10: Lowry 6-4 Lizotte
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
4
Lowry
Lizotte
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
8
0
Lowry
Lizotte
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
5
6
Lowry
Lizotte
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Lizotte
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
51.6% (3,068)
+1.2%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
48.1% (81)
+9.0%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
42.3% (437)
+2.6%
On power play, Lowry has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lizotte shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,740).
Lowry shoots left. Lizotte is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,373).
Home / Away
Lowry
Lizotte
Home
53.5% (5,893)
49.5% (1,840)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
51.4% (1,746)
By Period
Lowry
Lizotte
P1
51.5%
48.0%
P2
51.8%
52.3%
P3
51.4%
50.5%
OT
46.3%
75.0%
Final 5 min
52.9%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 19:04 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 15:59 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 19:44 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 18:44 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 03:10 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 02:51 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 07:07 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 02:49 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 03:22 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 15:52 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 04:51 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 04:37 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 3 | 08:27 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 3 | 05:44 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 2 | 18:22 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 05:21 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 3 | 02:23 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 3 | 02:18 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 3 | 02:07 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |