Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Lizotte 47.5% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 52.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 78.3%
Neutral zone
Lowry 55.0%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 61.5%
61.5%
38.5%
Lowry
Lizotte
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Lowry
Lizotte
Last 6: Lowry 4-2 Lizotte
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
0
1
Lowry
Lizotte
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Lizotte
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Lizotte
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Lizotte
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
47.9% (313)
+1.4%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
33.3% (6)
+34.4%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
41.3% (46)
+1.3%
On power play, Lowry has a +34.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lizotte shoots left. Lowry is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Lowry shoots left. Lizotte is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
Lowry
Lizotte
Home
50.2% (671)
48.8% (170)
Away
47.8% (709)
45.1% (195)
By Period
Lowry
Lizotte
P1
48.4%
44.4%
P2
50.1%
53.3%
P3
47.8%
43.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
43.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.0%
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 19:04 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 15:59 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 19:44 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 18:44 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 03:10 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 02:51 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |