Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Groulx on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Groulx 48.1% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Groulx 73.5%
Defensive zone
Lowry 75.7%
Neutral zone
Groulx 50.8%
Result
Bo Groulx favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Lowry
Groulx
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Lowry
Groulx
Last 7: Lowry 3-4 Groulx
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Groulx
1
2
Lowry
Groulx
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Groulx
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Groulx
1
2
Lowry
Groulx
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Groulx
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
49.3% (75)
+6.5%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
0.0% (1)
+54.7%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
14.3% (7)
+28.0%
On power play, Lowry has a +54.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Groulx shoots left. Lowry is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Lowry shoots left. Groulx is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (46).
Home / Away
Lowry
Groulx
Home
53.4% (515)
50.0% (56)
Away
52.6% (549)
37.0% (27)
By Period
Lowry
Groulx
P1
54.2%
48.0%
P2
54.4%
44.8%
P3
50.8%
44.8%
Final 5 min
54.2%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
Groulx
48.0%▲
42.5%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2021 | 3 | 05:24 | Neutral | Bo Groulx |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 2 | 05:26 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 17:17 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 17:11 | Neutral | Bo Groulx |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 03:31 | Offensive | Bo Groulx |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 14:10 | Offensive | Bo Groulx |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 1 | 02:51 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |