Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Groulx 45.6% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 60.9%
Defensive zone
Lowry 71.2%
Neutral zone
Lowry 58.9%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 60.2%
60.2%
39.8%
Lowry
Groulx
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Lowry
Groulx
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Groulx
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Groulx
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Groulx
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
43.7% (222)
+5.6%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
60.0% (5)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
43.8% (48)
-1.2%
On power play, Lowry has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Groulx shoots left. Lowry is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Lowry shoots left. Groulx is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (174).
Home / Away
Lowry
Groulx
Home
50.2% (671)
49.6% (129)
Away
47.8% (709)
39.0% (146)
By Period
Lowry
Groulx
P1
48.4%
43.6%
P2
50.1%
45.0%
P3
47.8%
43.4%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.0%
Groulx
48.0%▲
42.5%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2024 | 3 | 11:05 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 15, 2024 | 3 | 08:29 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 3 | 13:25 | Offensive | Bo Groulx |