Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Groulx on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Groulx 45.3% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Groulx leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 53.1%
Defensive zone
Lowry 56.3%
Neutral zone
Lowry 52.2%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Lowry
Groulx
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Lowry
Groulx
Last 10: Lowry 5-5 Groulx
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Groulx
2
3
Lowry
Groulx
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Groulx
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Lowry
Groulx
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Groulx
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
46.1% (371)
+6.7%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
37.5% (8)
+19.6%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
36.9% (84)
+8.0%
On power play, Lowry has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Groulx shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,740).
Lowry shoots left. Groulx is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Home / Away
Lowry
Groulx
Home
53.5% (5,893)
49.8% (241)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
38.3% (222)
By Period
Lowry
Groulx
P1
51.5%
45.3%
P2
51.8%
44.8%
P3
51.4%
42.9%
OT
46.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.9%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Groulx
48.0%▲
42.5%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2024 | 3 | 11:05 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 15, 2024 | 3 | 08:29 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 3 | 13:25 | Offensive | Bo Groulx |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 3 | 05:24 | Neutral | Bo Groulx |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 2 | 05:26 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 17:17 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 17:11 | Neutral | Bo Groulx |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 03:31 | Offensive | Bo Groulx |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 14:10 | Offensive | Bo Groulx |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 1 | 02:51 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |