Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Horvat 56.6% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 72.8%
Defensive zone
Lowry 73.3%
Neutral zone
Lowry 60.1%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Lowry
Horvat
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Lowry
Horvat
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
0
1
Lowry
Horvat
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Horvat
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Horvat
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Horvat
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
55.6% (1,066)
+0.2%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
65.4% (289)
-10.7%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
49.2% (120)
-6.9%
On power play, Horvat has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horvat shoots left. Lowry is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Lowry shoots left. Horvat is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (912).
Home / Away
Lowry
Horvat
Home
53.4% (515)
58.8% (724)
Away
52.6% (549)
55.3% (751)
By Period
Lowry
Horvat
P1
54.2%
57.0%
P2
54.4%
57.5%
P3
50.8%
57.0%
OT
37.5%
36.4%
Final 5 min
54.2%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2021 | OT | 04:52 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 2 | 15:46 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 19, 2021 | 3 | 17:32 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 19, 2021 | 1 | 12:01 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |