Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Horvat 56.5% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 12-9 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 61.5%
Defensive zone
Lowry 80.4%
Neutral zone
Lowry 69.8%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 62.9%
62.9%
37.1%
Lowry
Horvat
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
12
(21 meetings)
9
12
Lowry
Horvat
Last 10: Lowry 4-6 Horvat
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
6
Lowry
Horvat
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
4
Lowry
Horvat
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
5
2
Lowry
Horvat
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Horvat
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
54.7% (1,126)
-2.0%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
67.0% (342)
-14.2%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
52.1% (217)
-12.1%
On power play, Horvat has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horvat shoots left. Lowry is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Lowry shoots left. Horvat is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Home / Away
Lowry
Horvat
Home
52.4% (597)
59.8% (853)
Away
48.4% (583)
53.8% (832)
By Period
Lowry
Horvat
P1
48.5%
55.0%
P2
52.2%
58.3%
P3
50.5%
57.8%
OT
50.0%
44.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
59.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2023 | 3 | 11:00 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 2 | 07:08 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 1 | 19:31 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 1 | 15:23 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 1 | 01:30 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 22, 2023 | 3 | 14:09 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 22, 2023 | 2 | 14:57 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 00:53 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 2 | 13:46 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 2 | 07:05 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 2 | 05:09 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 18:38 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 16:19 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 13:36 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 11:35 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 06:22 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 14:28 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 03:18 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 13:11 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |