Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Horvat 53.7% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 13-10 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 70.6%
Defensive zone
Lowry 81.8%
Neutral zone
Lowry 59.0%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 63.1%
63.1%
36.9%
Lowry
Horvat
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
13
(23 meetings)
10
13
Lowry
Horvat
Last 10: Lowry 4-6 Horvat
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
0
6
Lowry
Horvat
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
7
5
Lowry
Horvat
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
2
Lowry
Horvat
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Horvat
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
53.5% (1,071)
-4.2%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
56.3% (272)
+11.4%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
51.3% (76)
-8.7%
On power play, Lowry has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horvat shoots left. Lowry is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Lowry shoots left. Horvat is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (888).
Home / Away
Lowry
Horvat
Home
50.2% (671)
54.2% (714)
Away
47.8% (709)
53.6% (705)
By Period
Lowry
Horvat
P1
48.4%
53.5%
P2
50.1%
56.3%
P3
47.8%
53.5%
OT
66.7%
28.6%
Final 5 min
43.8%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.0%
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 00:46 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 00:32 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 17:42 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 15:04 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 11:44 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 09:46 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 05:37 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 19:50 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 10:51 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 10:40 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 09:15 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 04:05 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 01:35 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 1 | 17:25 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 1 | 14:35 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 1 | 13:51 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 1 | 06:33 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 1 | 03:05 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |