Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.8% vs 52.3%). Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Schenn 52.1% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Schenn leads 12-10 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Schenn 70.8%
Defensive zone
Lowry 78.6%
Neutral zone
Lowry 51.3%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Lowry
Schenn
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
12
(22 meetings)
10
12
Lowry
Schenn
Last 10: Lowry 5-5 Schenn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
3
5
Lowry
Schenn
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
5
2
Lowry
Schenn
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
5
Lowry
Schenn
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Schenn
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (933)
52.2% (962)
+1.5%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
51.2% (166)
+9.5%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (227)
57.4% (54)
-14.7%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schenn shoots left. Lowry is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (840).
Lowry shoots left. Schenn is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (741).
Home / Away
Lowry
Schenn
Home
53.0% (583)
51.1% (575)
Away
50.6% (605)
53.4% (607)
By Period
Lowry
Schenn
P1
52.1%
51.4%
P2
51.8%
52.7%
P3
52.3%
52.7%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.8%
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2025 | 3 | 06:01 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 3 | 03:09 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 3 | 01:51 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 2 | 16:27 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 2 | 10:23 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 2 | 03:01 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 2 | 01:02 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 1 | 16:33 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 1 | 01:09 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 18:59 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 17:10 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 14:48 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 05:02 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 06:56 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 06:39 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 02:37 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 02:22 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 11:04 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 11:10 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 00:35 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |