Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Schenn on offensive-zone draws (61% H2H, 36 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Schenn 48.6% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 50-49 in 99 meetings
Offensive zone
Schenn 70.4%
Defensive zone
Lowry 79.8%
Neutral zone
Lowry 62.8%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Lowry
Schenn
Head-to-Head Record
50
-
49
(99 meetings)
50
49
Lowry
Schenn
Last 10: Lowry 6-4 Schenn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
14
22
Lowry
Schenn
36 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
13
9
Lowry
Schenn
22 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
23
18
Lowry
Schenn
41 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Schenn
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
48.0% (8,799)
+4.8%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
53.5% (1,033)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
48.5% (396)
-3.6%
On even strength, Lowry has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schenn shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,740).
Lowry shoots left. Schenn is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,675).
Home / Away
Lowry
Schenn
Home
53.5% (5,893)
49.7% (5,030)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
47.4% (5,202)
By Period
Lowry
Schenn
P1
51.5%
48.7%
P2
51.8%
48.6%
P3
51.4%
48.3%
OT
46.3%
50.9%
Final 5 min
52.9%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 18:47 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 10:04 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 07:38 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 04:41 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 11:25 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 06:59 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 02:46 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 3 | 03:49 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 3 | 06:01 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 3 | 03:09 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 3 | 01:51 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 2 | 16:27 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 2 | 10:23 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 2 | 03:01 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 2 | 01:02 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 1 | 16:33 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 1 | 01:09 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |